Reading AGNT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AGNT free→Reading AGNT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AGNT free→NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with AGNT trading below typical compared to its peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If AGNT cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.74. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.74 AGNT trades at 43× p/e — 2.2× the 19× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $5.34 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 11% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted -5.92x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.09 → $0.08 (-11.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$195.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$452.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,049.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This growth would indicate progress toward the $5.15 billion revenue goal for 2026.
Confirms:Q2 revenue reported at $1.3 billion or higher.
Disproves:Q2 revenue reported below $1.2 billion.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AGNT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Item 5.02(b) On June 9, 2026, the Company announced that Wendy Forsythe has been promoted from her role as Chief Marketing Officer of eXp Realty, LLC to serve as Chief Operating Officer of eXp Realty, LLC, effective June 8, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). As of the Effective Date, Ms. Forsythe no longer serves as Chief Marketing Officer of eXp Rea…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Real Estate Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AGNT eXp World Holdings, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 16 of 100 | fair | elevated |
CBRE CBRE Group | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | fair | moderate |
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CSGP CoStar Group | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COMP Compass, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | fair | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to achieve a revenue target of $5.15 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
Management targets adjusted EBITDA between $50 million and $75 million for fiscal year 2026.
Management is focused on improving operating income over the coming quarters.
Why it matters: Achieving this target would show the company is on track for its EBITDA goals.
Confirms:Adjusted EBITDA is $50 million or more.
Disproves:Adjusted EBITDA is less than $40 million.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Indemnification Agreements AGNT, Inc. (formerly eXp World Holdings, Inc., the “Company”) entered into indemnification agreements with each of its directors and executive officers (collectively, the “Indemnitees” and, the “Indemnification Agreements”), effective as of June 11, 2026, which replaced and superseded any previous indemnification agreements between the Company and each such individual. The Indemnification Agreements provide for certain ind…
Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders. On June 10, 2026, the Company filed a certificate of amendment (the “Name Change Charter Amendment”) to the Delaware Restated Certificate of Incorporation (the “Delaware Charter”) with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware, to change the name of the Company from eXp World Holdings, Inc. to AGNT, Inc. (the “Name Change”). The Company’s board of directors (the “Board”) approved the Name Change Charter Amendment, and pursuant to Section…
Other Events. As previously disclosed, eXp World Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) is named as a defendant in a putative nationwide class action on behalf of home buyers captioned Batton et al. v. Compass, Inc., et al. (U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois) (the “Batton Action”). In connection with a related buy-side class action, Tuccori v. At World Properties, et al. (U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois) (the “Tuccori Action”), the Company entered int…