Reading QUIK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track QUIK free→Reading QUIK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track QUIK free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Risk is elevated, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If QUIK cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $20.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $22 QUIK trades at 19× p/s — 1.6× the 12× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $21 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 3% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about -5%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.03x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.04 → $-0.04 (-6.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 22.8% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$297.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$637.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,064.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth falls, it may impact QuickLogic's performance. The sector's health is key for its recovery.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reports show a drop below the median growth rate.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above the median growth rate.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for QUIK yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operation and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, QuickLogic Corporation (“QuickLogic”) issued a press release and held a conference call announcing its financial results for the fiscal first quarter ended March 29, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. QuickLogic is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in the press release. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results is provided in the attache…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
QUIK QuickLogic Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 14 of 100 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to achieve significant revenue growth starting in 2026.
Continue executing strategic objectives to support growth and operational goals.
Management targeted $6 million in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if QuickLogic can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery from loss-making status.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows revenue growth compared to last year. This suggests a recovery.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows ongoing losses or lower revenue compared to last year.
Regulation FD Disclosure. On May 12, 2026, QuickLogic Corporation (“QuickLogic”) issued a press release regarding its financial results for the fiscal first quarter ended March 29, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to liabilities under that se…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 24, 2026, QuickLogic Corporation (the “Company”) entered into (i) a Loan and Security Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”), by and between the Company and Sunflower Bank, N.A. and (ii) a Promissory Note of the Company (the “Note”), providing for a $10.0 million secured revolving credit facility (“Revolving Credit Facility”). The Revolving Credit Facility will mature on April 24, 2029 and will accrue interest at a rate equal to the greater of…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above in
Other Events. On April 29, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that it had entered into the Credit Agreement. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.