Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$58.79-3.31%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put PENG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Operating margin near 26.5% +/- 0.5%: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 27% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskPENG’s AI Factory Platform must sustain rapid growth, despite unsteady management and high risk. Revenue growth accelerated from 48% to 68% year over year, with fiscal fourth-quarter earnings beating consensus. The shares trade at 23× P/E versus a 56× peer median and 25× their historical multiple. The desk says expectations look modest versus its growth view. The specific risk is the operating-margin comparison, which the desk says needs review. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 16%. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. PENG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering PENG (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PENG in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare PENG with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put PENG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Increase full-year net sales and EPS outlook
Concerns over cash flow impact net sales and EPS outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $58.79
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $58.79.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Advance AI Factory Platform strategy
Analyst upgrade supports AI Factory Platform growth strategy.
Advances: Increase full-year net sales and EPS outlook
Earnings beat supports increased sales and EPS outlook.
Advances: Increase full-year net sales and EPS outlook
Positive sales and EPS outlook supports growth objectives.
Advances: Increase full-year net sales and EPS outlook
Q4 2026 estimates exceeded, indicating strong sales growth.
Advances: Advance AI Factory Platform strategy
New CFO appointment supports AI Factory Platform strategy.
Advances: Increase full-year net sales and EPS outlook
Earnings beat enhances sales and EPS outlook.
Advances: Advance AI Factory Platform strategy
AI strategy gaining momentum supports growth objectives.
