Nucor (NUE)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-10-30
$273.87-0.52%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put NUE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 17% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskNucor’s case rests on rising steel earnings, supported by growing revenue and recent beats. Revenue growth rose from 21% to 32%, and third-quarter earnings beat estimates. Nucor trades at 18 times earnings versus 16 times for peers. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The risk is weaker recent performance, which just fell into the industry’s bottom half. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% below where it trades; the thesis has broken.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NUE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering NUE (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NUE in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NUE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Steel — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NUE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Execute growth strategy through investments and project ramp-ups
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $273.87
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $273.87.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
West Virginia ramp target and higher towers EBITDA goal support growth investments, though execution remains ahead.
Advances: Increase earnings across all segments
Profit beat driven by higher steel prices supports earnings across segments, though likely cyclical.
Advances: Increase earnings across all segments
Meeting earnings expectations and topping revenue estimates modestly support earnings objectives.
Advances: Execute growth strategy through investments and project ramp-ups
Facility expansion supports Nucor’s growth strategy, though the investment is incremental.
Advances: Execute growth strategy through investments and project ramp-ups
New steel mill aligns with growth strategy and investment objectives.
Advances: Execute growth strategy through investments and project ramp-ups
New steel mill aligns with Nucor's growth strategy.
Threatens: Increase earnings across all segments
Q3 guidance raises concerns about earnings growth.
Threatens: Increase earnings across all segments
Rising costs hinder earnings growth despite stronger steel prices.
