GERDAU SA (GGB)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-10-29
$4.74+5.10%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put GGB beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskNot enough reads yet
GGB rests on Brazil’s competitiveness plan and a projected Miguel Burnier benefit in 2027. Revenue history is omitted, so growth acceleration cannot be established. Q3 2026 brought strong cash flow, despite Brazil headwinds. The desk records a 17% earnings miss on the September 2026 print. Valuation multiples and priced-in expectations are omitted, so the price test is unavailable. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 29%. Our read remains intact, though the fundamentals record is insufficient. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. GGB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering GGB (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare GGB with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGB Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Steel — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GGB next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Plan and quantified 2027 benefit provide a concrete operational catalyst, though execution remains ahead.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Strong cash flow supports financial resilience, though Brazil headwinds temper the positive signal.
Strong quarterly cash flow is a positive operating signal; shares slipping limits its significance.
Rating downgrade indicates potential negative market perception.
Downgrade indicates reduced confidence in future performance.
Increased competition from Chinese steel producers in Latin America.
Strong EBITDA performance indicates positive operational momentum.
Acquisition enhances competitive position in energy market.