Reading ISSC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ISSC free→Reading ISSC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ISSC free→NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and management's recent track record has been steady. Earnings quality is mixed, and risk is high, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 37% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. The outlook hinges on guidance changes from ISSC and the performance of sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $16.80. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 ISSC trades at 16× p/e, below its 38× p/e peer median. Our $28 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 37% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 38%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.21x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.21 → $0.21 (-1.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$334.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$690.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,783.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it may signal a positive shift for ISSC and its peers.
Confirms:Three-year revenue growth in the industrials sector exceeds 5% again.
Disproves:Three-year revenue growth in the industrials sector remains below 5%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ISSC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. dba Innovative Aerosystems and its subsidiaries issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ISSC Innovative Solutions and Support Inc | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to reach a $250 million annual revenue target by fiscal 2029.
Focus on completing strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings and market position.
Aim to enhance gross margin profile through strategic initiatives and cost management.
Why it matters: Changes in RFP status can show shifts in demand and competition.
Confirms one read:At least one peer reports a strong increase in RFP status.
Confirms the other:At least one peer reports a decline in RFP status.
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. The information set forth in
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Autopilot Asset Purchase and License Agreement On March 27, 2026, Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into and closed the transactions contemplated by that certain Asset Purchase and License Agreement (the “ Autopilot Agreement ”) with Honeywell International Inc. (“ Honeywell ”). Pursuant to the Autopilot Agreement, Honeywell sold, assigned or licensed certain assets related to its general aviation autopilots and nav/co…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. dba Innovative Aerosystems and its subsidiaries issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal first quarter for the three-month period ended December 31, 2025. A copy of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 18, 2025, Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. dba Innovative Aerosystems and its subsidiaries issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 year ended September 30, 2025. A copy of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to