Reading IPWR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track IPWR free→Reading IPWR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track IPWR free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 279% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact the stock's trajectory. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.70. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
We can't anchor a clean multiple for IPWR right now, so treat our $1.50 fair value as low-confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 314% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 18%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.79x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$388.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$989.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,982.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report will show if the company can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth above the previous quarter.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue decline or continued losses.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for IPWR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
The press release contains forward-looking statements regarding the Company and includes cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. The Company will host a conference call with investors to discuss the results. The conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday, May 14, 2026. The call may be accessed in the U.S. by dialing 1-888-506-0062 and using passcode 526807. An audio replay will be a…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2022-Q2, 2022-Q3, 2023-Q1, 2023-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
IPWR Ideal Power Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 3 of 100 | expensive | high |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on converting the expanding sales funnel into production orders to drive revenue growth.
Anticipate OEM to expand offerings to include B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs, presenting a revenue growth opportunity.
Why it matters: If the sector slows down, it could hurt Ideal Power's growth. This is important for future performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median for the last quarter.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Expanding OEM offerings is crucial for revenue. No revenue was reported in Q1 2026.
Confirms:Revenue from B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs exceeds $500,000 in the next quarter.
Disproves:Revenue from B-TRAN®-enabled SSCBs remains at $0.
Why it matters: Converting sales into production orders is key for revenue growth. No revenue was reported in Q1 2026.
Confirms:Production orders from sales are over $1 million.
Disproves:No production orders reported in the next quarter.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 14, 2026, Ideal Power Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “ Securities Purchase Agreement ”) with certain investors (the “ Investors ”), relating to the offering of 3,220,961 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (“ Common Stock ”), and pre-funded warrants (the “ Pre-Funded Warrants ”) to purchase up to 2,070,044 shares of Common Stock (the “ Offering ”). The Pre-Funded Warrants…
The filing primarily concerns the approval of an equity incentive plan amendment.
The press release contains forward-looking statements regarding the Company and includes cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. The Company will host a conference call with investors to discuss the results. The conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The call may be accessed in the U.S. by dialing 1-877-545-0523 and using passcode 969034. An audio replay will be…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 23, 2026, Ideal Power Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “ Underwriting Agreement ”) with Titan Partners Group LLC, a division of American Capital Partners, LLC, as representative of the underwriters named therein (the “ Underwriter ”), relating to the underwritten public offering of 3,505,855 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (“ Common Stock ”), and pre-funded warrants (the…