Reading GDEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GDEN free→Reading GDEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GDEN free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryResorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with GDEN trading below typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades; the read is expensive. If sector bellwethers like LVS, MGM, and WYNN keep beating earnings and guiding higher, that could provide momentum for GDEN. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $28.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted -13.75x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.19 → $0.28 (+44.7% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$68.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$272.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,762.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how the company is doing and its future.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth and improved margins compared to prior quarters.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows falling revenue or bigger losses.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GDEN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Changes in Control of Registrant. The information set forth above under Introduction and in Items 1.02, 2.01, 3.01 and 5.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K12B is incorporated by reference into this
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Casinos & Gaming.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GDEN Golden Entertainment | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 25 of 100 | — | elevated |
LVS Las Vegas Sands | — | fair | moderate |
DKNG DRAFTKINGS INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 14 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
MGM MGM Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 40 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
WYNN Wynn Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 44 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on completing the acquisition and integrating the acquired assets.
Adjust capital allocation strategies following the acquisition.
Manage the transition and impact of executive departures following the transaction.
Why it matters: Closing the deal will change Golden Entertainment from a public to a private company. This affects shareholder value and future operations.
Confirms:The deal will close and get regulatory approvals by the end of Q2 2026.
Disproves:The transaction fails to close due to regulatory issues or other conditions not being met.
On April 30, 2026, the Registrant notified Nasdaq that the Transactions had been completed. The Registrant also requested that Nasdaq suspend trading of New HoldCo common stock and file a Form 25 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “ SEC ”) to delist New HoldCo common stock from Nasdaq and deregister New HoldCo common stock under Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act. The Registrant also intends to file a Form 15 with the SEC requesting the termination of registration of New HoldCo c…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. The information set forth above under Introduction and
In connection with the consummation of the Transactions, each of Blake L. Sartini, Mark A. Lipparelli, Ann D. Dozier, Terrence L. Wright and Andy H. Chien, all of the members of the board of directors of the Registrant immediately prior to the Effective Time, resigned as directors of the Registrant effective as of the closing of the Transactions. Additionally, in connection with the consummation of the Transactions, each of Blake L. Sartini, Charles H. Protell, Blake L. Sartini II, Viktoryia…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K12B is incorporated hereunder by reference. Pursuant to the terms of the MTA, as a result of the Transactions, each Company Option outstanding as of the Equity Award Settlement Date was accelerated and became fully vested and exercisable as of the Equity Award Settlement Date. Effective on the Equity Award Settlement Date and prior to the F Reorganization Effective Time, each vested Company Option (after giving effect to such acceleration) that was then outst…