GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc (GCTS)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$1.12-10.40%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put GCTS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth from $21.6M in 2026 to $77.8M in 2027: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 33% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 67% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGCTS’s growth case rests on revenue expansion, though the latest reported revenue fell year over year. Q2 FY2026 revenue declined 17.9% year over year, and GAAP EPS missed consensus. GCTS trades at 25× sales versus an 9× peer median, near its 38× historical multiple. The price is roughly in line with the growth we forecast. The next-quarter miss probability is 47%, and the latest earnings miss weakens the case. The annual revenue comparison behind the pressured pillar needs review, not confirmation of a breach. Peer multiples imply a price about 47% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. GCTS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 1 analyst currently covering GCTS (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCTS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put GCTS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Ramp up 5G chipset shipments
Earnings call highlights strong 5G chipset shipment growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Repositioning aligns with 5G chipset shipment ramp-up.