Reading FTK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FTK free→Reading FTK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FTK free→NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, its earnings yield is about typical for the sector. Peer multiples imply a price about 40% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $24.64. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $25 FTK trades at 30× p/e — 1.4× the 22× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $17 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 42% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 20%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=889): about 49% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 85% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated strong grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=979).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.00x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated fragile grew net income 38% of the time over the next year (vs 44% for the rest of the cohort, n=602).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.17 → $0.12 (-32.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$226.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$590.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,109.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Better revenue growth in the energy sector may help Flotek do well.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 3% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 2% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FTK yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 5, 2026, Flotek Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release providing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, initiating 2026 guidance and announcing that it will hold a conference call to discuss its financial and operating results. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FTK Flotek Industries, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 37 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SLB Schlumberger | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BKR Baker Hughes | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | full | moderate |
HAL Halliburton | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | fair | moderate |
FTI TechnipFMC | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Energy names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 45% for the rest of the cohort, n=249).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Flotek aims to achieve total revenue between $270 million and $290 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Flotek aims to achieve adjusted EBITDA between $36 million and $41 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 11, 2026, Flotek Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release providing its financial results for the quarter and year-ended December 31, 2025 and announcing that it will hold a conference call to discuss its financial and operating results. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On February 24, 2026, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of Flotek Industries, Inc. (the “ Company ”) approved grants of equity awards to each of Dr. Ryan Ezell and J. Bond Clement, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, respectively. Such equity award grants are comprised of restricted s…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On November 19, 2025, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of Flotek Industries, Inc. (the “ Company ”) approved grants of equity awards to each of Dr. Ryan Ezell and J. Bond Clement, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, respectively. Such equity award grants are comprised of restricted s…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On November 13, 2025, Amy Blakeway departed from her role as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Flotek Industries, Inc. (the “Company”). For purposes of the Company’s employment agreement with Ms. Blakeway, dated as of March 1, 2024 (filed as Exhibit 10.46 to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended…