NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS of $6.70 to $7.10 in 2026: FY26 EPS guidance mid: $6.9 vs target $6.7.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskDollar Tree's growth depends on achieving comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%. Recent financial performance has been strong, with a notable earnings beat of 12.3%. The stock trades at 20× P/E, which is in line with the 17× peer median. Expectations seem modest compared to the company's potential growth. The primary risk is that if the company cuts guidance, it could hurt credibility. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. DLTR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering DLTR (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for DLTR in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Store closures may hinder comparable store sales growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $127.21
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $127.21.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Threatens: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Store closures may hinder comparable store sales growth.
Threatens: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Store closures may hinder comparable store sales growth.
Threatens: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Store closures hinder comparable sales growth objective.
Threatens: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Store closures may hinder comparable sales growth.
Advances: Comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 4%
Improves customer satisfaction and drives comparable store sales growth.
Advances: Achieve EPS of $6.70 to $7.10 in 2026
Buyback supports EPS growth objective.
Advances: Achieve EPS of $6.70 to $7.10 in 2026
Buyback supports EPS growth objective significantly.
