Reading CVU? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CVU free→Reading CVU? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CVU free→AMEXIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, CVU is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 63% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This is because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. If sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX keep beating earnings, that could help CVU. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.86. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.86 CVU trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $13 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 63% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.69x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$241.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$553.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,189.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The sector is maturing, and revenue growth has slowed. If CPI shows a rebound, it may indicate a stronger position in the market.
Confirms:CPI Aerostructures will show revenue growth over 5% in the next earnings report.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains below 5% in the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CVU yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 18, 2026, CPI Aerostructures, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the exhibit related thereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “ Exchange Act ”) or otherwise subject to the liab…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CVU CPI Aerostructures Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 22 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 59 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 31, 2026 CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the exhibit related thereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “ Exchange Act ”) or…
Compensatory arrangements for certain officers were adjusted.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment and Compensatory Arrangements of Chief Financial Officer and Secretary On December 8, 2025, Robert Mannix, was appointed by the board of directors of the Company to the positions of Chief Financial Officer and Secretary. Mr. Mannix will also serve as Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of each of the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiarie…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On December 12, 2025, CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into a Loan and Security Agreement (the “ Loan Agreement ”) with Western Alliance Bank (the “ Bank ”). The Loan Agreement provides for a revolving line of credit in the maximum principal amount of $10,000,000 (the “ Revolving Line ”) and a term loan in the original principal amount of $10,000,000 (the “ Term Loan ” and, together with the Revolving Line, the “ Credit Facilities…