Reading CLDT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CLDT free→Reading CLDT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CLDT free→NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is robust, showing strong cash backing. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, CLDT is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $12.75. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 CLDT trades at 2× p/s, below its 6× p/s peer median. Our $21 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $8.75–$13. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 38% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1968).
Over the trailing year it converted 7.95x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Real Estate names rated robust grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=1399).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.09 → $0.11 (+22.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 3.9% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$122.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$222.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,874.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings will show how the company is doing. They will also reveal future plans. This can affect how investors feel.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows better revenue or profit than in past quarters.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows continued losses or declines in key metrics.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CLDT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$8.75 – $13.00 (median $11.50) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-06-12
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Hotel & Resort REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
VICI Vici Properties | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | inexpensive | low |
HST Host Hotels & Resorts | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | fair | low |
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | low |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Chatham Lodging Trust completed the acquisition of six Hilton-branded hotels for $92 million.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Chatham Lodging Trust completed the acquisition of six Hilton-branded hotels for $92 million. This acquisition is a strategic growth initiative, and the transaction was completed as planned.
“Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. On March 3, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust completed its acquisition of six hotels.”
Chatham Lodging Trust continues to maintain a dividend per share of $0.1.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Chatham Lodging Trust maintained a dividend per share of $0.1 in 2026-Q1, up from $0.09 in previous quarters. This reflects a consistent capital allocation strategy, delivering on its commitment to shareholders.
Chatham Lodging Trust aims to achieve total hotel revenue guidance of $308M to $314M for fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Chatham Lodging Trust set a revenue guidance of $308M to $314M for 2026, up from $284M to $290M in 2025-Q4. The company is focused on achieving this target, reflecting a growth-oriented strategy.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show a weak economy. This can lower demand for lodging. This would hurt Chatham Lodging Trust.
Confirms:Unemployment insurance claims are going down. This shows a stronger job market.
Disproves:Unemployment insurance claims are going up. This shows economic weakness.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a recovery in the real estate sector. This would be positive for Chatham Lodging Trust's outlook.
Confirms:Real estate sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is above 5%, close to past highs.
Disproves:Revenue growth is below 5%. It may keep slowing down.
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. On March 3, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust (the "Company") completed its acquisition of six hotels (the “Portfolio”) for a purchase price of $92 million, or approximately $156,000 per room. The hotels, which have an aggregate of 589 rooms, are Hilton-branded. Two hotels are located in each of Joplin, Mo., Effingham, Ill., and Paducah, Ky. Of the six hotels, there are two each of Homewood Suites, Hampton Inn and Suites, and Home2 Suites by Hilto…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 25, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the three months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in
Regulation FD Disclosure. The Company issued a press release on March 4, 2026, announcing, among other things, the completion of the acquisition of the Portfolio. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is hereby incorporated by reference herein.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2025, Chatham Lodging Trust issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the three months ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in
“Dividend per share: 0.1”
“Dividend per share: 0.09”
“Dividend per share: 0.09”
“Total hotel revenue $308M - $314M”
“Total hotel revenue $284 - $290 M”