Reading SVC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SVC free→Reading SVC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SVC free→NASDAQReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year, and it is below typical compared to sector peers. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop presents a headwind. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.60. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.49x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.14 → $-0.03 (+78.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$220.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$502.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,082.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
As of June 15, 2026, the signal label changed to "restrictive," indicating a shift in the outlook. Risk rose, suggesting an increase in uncertainty. The sector backdrop remained a headwind, which may impact performance. The company continues to show weak recent financial performance and is characterized by volatile management.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show trends in revenue and how well the company is doing.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth falls below 0% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SVC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As described in
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Hotel & Resort REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SVC Service Properties Trust | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 1 of 100 | — | elevated |
VICI Vici Properties | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | inexpensive | low |
HST Host Hotels & Resorts | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | fair | low |
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | low |
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Real Estate names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
SVC aims to maintain its capital expenditures guidance between $120M and $140M for 2026.
SVC is targeting a revenue range of $500M to $520M for the fiscal year 2026.
SVC continues to maintain a dividend per share of $0.01.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Service Properties Trust, or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company's financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Copies of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 31, 2026, we entered into an underwriting agreement, or the Underwriting Agreement, with Yorkville Securities, LLC, as representative of the underwriters named therein, with respect to an underwritten public offering of 416,666,667 of our common shares of beneficial interest, $.01 par value per share, or common shares, at a public offering price of $1.20 per share. We expect to issue and deliver these common shares on or about April 2, 2026…
, September 29, 2025 , October 1, 2025 , October 6, 2025 , October 21, 2025 , October 28, 2025 , November 4, 2025 , November 18, 2025 , November 24, 2025 , December 9, 2025 , December 16, 2025 , December 22, 2025 and January 27, 2026 .
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 25, 2026, Service Properties Trust, or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company's financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. Copies of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.