Reading APLE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track APLE free→
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-06-15
Watch· this month
$16.14-0.46%
Close 2026-06-15 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
The bottom line
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral, indicating some uncertainty in cash flow backing reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the company has a capital-friendly approach to management. Risk is low, but the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared to sector peers that are above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, priced roughly in line with peer multiples. The outlook hinges on guidance changes and sector trends, particularly the performance of key sector bellwethers. This read is provisional.
as of 2026-06-15
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Reit - Hotel & Motel
- Market cap
- $3.83B
- Employees
- —
- IPO date
- 2008-05-08
- Next earnings
- 2026-08-05
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $16.14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
12-month· primaryfair
$18.16consensus
Range $13.65 – $18.80
vs price: -11% below
Method agreement — · 5 methods
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
3-yearfull
$15.23consensus
Range $13.64 – $22.05
vs price: +6% above
Method agreement — · 4 methods
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
5-yearfull
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
Durable premiummedium confidence
At $16 the market pays 22× p/e — above the 14× p/e peer median but in line with its own 19× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $18 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts: $16–$16. Not investment advice.
Multiple (P/E)
22.4x
peer 14.5x · own history 19.0x
Premium
1.6x peer
1.2x its own history
Growth the price needs
-12%
our forecast 1%
Our fair value
$18.26
range $13.65 – $18.59
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
fairfair12-month view
What's priced inJustified
The price implies about 12% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Low fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Historical context
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
neutralOperating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1968).
40th pctl · Real Estate
Earnings quality
neutralOver the trailing year it converted 2.15x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=1866).
61st pctl · Real Estate
Macro sensitivity
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
- the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Management & capital allocation
neutralEarnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
NeutralEPS revised +3.0% / 30d, n=5for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $0.26 → $0.26 (+3.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 5 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 27% of analysts rate Buy.
Price target activity
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 3.6% above current price.
Material events
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: real estate is in maturing (~1.2 years in phase).
Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Overall: strong
- Capital allocation
- neutral
- Earnings discipline
- strong
- Margin discipline
- strong
- Balance sheet
- neutral
- Post-call reaction
- neutral
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$86.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$191.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,348.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
lowas of 2026-06-15
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Intermediate · Weekly
- UpsideMedium confidenceQuartersactive 4d
Watch for Comparable Hotels RevPAR growth in Q2 2026
Why it matters: RevPAR growth shows strong demand and good operations. It affects revenue and profit.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms:Comparable Hotels RevPAR growth exceeds 3% year over year in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Comparable Hotels RevPAR growth falls below 1% year over year in Q2 2026.
Earnings call
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for APLE yet.
This sector is also watching
- Watch for revenue growth speeding up in the Real Estate sector.
- Watch for FOMC decisions that change interest rates.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If the Fed starts cutting rates from the current 3.62%, that would be a tailwind for APLE and other Real Estate names, since rate-sensitive parts of the market tend to rally when the Fed eases.
- If sector bellwethers like HST, RHP, and PK keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Real Estate sector momentum should keep lifting APLE and other Real Estate names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If APLE raises forward guidance on the next earnings call (currently NEW as of 2026-05-29), that's a momentum boost. Street estimates typically follow guidance up and the stock tends to re-rate higher.
Downside triggers
- If APLE cuts guidance on the next call (currently NEW as of 2026-05-29), that's a meaningful negative. The Street tends to walk down estimates and the stock usually takes a leg lower.
- If sector bellwethers like HST, RHP, and PK start missing or guiding lower, the Real Estate tailwind helping APLE and other Real Estate names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-06-107d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 10, 2026, Elizabeth S. Perkins, the Company’s Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, was appointed as, and assumed the additional role of, the Company’s principal accounting officer. Ms. Perkins succeeds Rachel Labrecque as the Company’s principal accounting officer. Ms. Labrecque passed away on June 9, 2026. Ms. Labrecque will…
Executive changeneutral
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
+6.5 vs last weeklatest as of 2026-06-16
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.