Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-09
$12.90+1.42%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Chatham Lodging Trust owns premium extended stay hotels. It aims for about $311 million revenue in 2026. The company keeps paying a steady $0.1 dividend per share. Profit margins are expected near 34%.
The company is loss-making with EPS guidance negative around -$0.1 in 2026. Hotel industry headwinds could pressure revenue growth. Rising costs may reduce profit margins below targets.
The price is about 4% below our fair value near $13. Analysts expect 6% revenue growth. Our fair value is 11% above the Street median, reflecting confidence in the dividend and revenue targets.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $0.1 in 2026
Breaks if: Free cash flow per share falls below $0.1 in FY26
Breaks if: Gross margin falls below 33.5% in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a stable growth opportunity with a focus on real estate. The current thesis state is intact, supported by recent strong financial performance and management's commitment to key priorities.
The market currently prices CLDT at a premium compared to its peers, indicating that some growth expectations are already embedded in its valuation. There is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that while the stock is considered expensive, it is justified given its recent performance.
Management is on track with its priorities, including the successful integration of a recent acquisition and maintaining dividend growth. The near-term risk of missing earnings is low, but the company has a history of erratic earnings surprises, which could affect future performance.
The long-term thesis hinges on external factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the performance of sector leaders. Additionally, any negative guidance changes could significantly impact credibility and stock performance.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Annual revenue falls below $308 million in FY26
Overall, CLDT's fundamentals appear solid, but external factors will play a crucial role in shaping its future. Not investment advice.