BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-29
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put BJ beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS reaches at least $4.4 next fiscal year: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 1% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 20% growth a year, above the roughly 9% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskBJ’s expansion-led warehouse-club growth case rests on stronger recent financial performance, though earnings quality remains mixed. Revenue growth accelerated from 9.9% to 15.7% year over year, and Q2 FY2026 earnings beat consensus. BJ trades at 23× P/E versus a 16× peer median and its 21× history. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. A next-quarter earnings miss has a 19% probability in our model. The primary pillar, next-year EPS reaching at least $4.4, needs verified metric mapping. Peer multiples imply a price about 20% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. BJ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering BJ (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare BJ with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BJ next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Positive outlook reflects expansion prospects and low leverage, supporting financial resilience.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Drive comparable club sales growth
Aggressive expansion targets align with sales growth objective.

Threatens: Drive comparable club sales growth
Cuts in product assortment may affect sales growth.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Stronger fundamentals support revenue growth expectations.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Record membership indicates strong revenue growth potential.

Threatens: Drive comparable club sales growth
Slower core sales engine may hinder comparable sales growth.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Q2 earnings call highlights revenue growth strategies.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Beating estimates indicates positive revenue growth.
