Brown–Forman (BF-B)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$28.71+2.39%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put BF-B beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Operating income near $1.0 billion in 2026-Q4: Operating income: $252M.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskBrown-Forman’s thesis rests on steady performance, despite fragile cash backing for reported profits. Revenue fell 1% in fiscal 2027’s first quarter, after growing 2% in each prior quarter. The latest quarter had no recorded verdict; fiscal 2026’s fourth quarter missed. BF-B trades at 18× P/E versus a 16× peer median and its 18× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the modest peer premium. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 35%. Operating income of $252M in fiscal 2026’s fourth quarter pressures the pillar near $1.0 billion. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. BF-B is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering BF-B (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare BF-B with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BF-B Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BF-B next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Sales miss indicates potential challenges to growth guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Weak demand may hinder full-year fiscal 2026 guidance.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Growth prospects are uninspiring, impacting fiscal 2026 guidance.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Reaffirmation of outlook with expected decline impacts growth objectives.
Advances: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Earnings call highlights reaffirm growth guidance.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Weak consumer spending impacts growth outlook for fiscal 2026.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Sales slip indicates potential challenges to growth guidance.
Threatens: Reaffirm full-year fiscal 2026 guidance
Cautious guidance suggests difficulties ahead.
