Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. (AESI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$9.22-0.43%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
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Put AESI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve $50M Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 56% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAESI’s power-growth deals tied to Caterpillar offer its main growth case. Recent financial performance is weak, with two consecutive quarterly earnings misses. The latest quarter missed earnings expectations by 66.7%. AESI trades at 1× sales, matching the 1× peer median. That valuation reflects less growth than our forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 82%. The Q2 2026 $50 million EBITDA pillar needs review, not confirmation. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. AESI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering AESI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AESI in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AESI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Equipment & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AESI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Improve cash from operating activities
Bridge financing secures substantial liquidity but adds debt; operating-cash-flow implications remain unclear.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $9.22
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $9.22.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Earnings outlook cut may hinder growth objectives.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
AI power deals align with growth objectives and enhance partnerships.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
AI deals align with power growth strategy.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
Secures deals that leverage partnership for power growth.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
Contract enhances partnership with Caterpillar for power growth.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
Significant equipment deals support power growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve $50M Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026
Upgrade indicates confidence in growth plans.