Reading ACHR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ACHR free→Reading ACHR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ACHR free→NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may further challenge the company. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.66x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.26 → $-0.22 (+14.5% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$282.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$745.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,378.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If industrial sector growth speeds up, it could help Archer's business. This would improve its market position.
Confirms:3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector exceeds 5% again.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth continues to slow or stays below 5%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Concerns over commercial launch plans affect investor confidence.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 11, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (“Archer” or the “Company”) will hold a conference call regarding its operating and financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The Company also issued a letter to its stockholders (the “Shareholder Letter”) and a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing its operating and financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. Copies of the Shareholder Letter and the Press Releas…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ACHR Archer Aviation, Inc. | — | — | high |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
19 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Management aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2026.
Archer aims to expand its eVTOL production capacity to meet future demand.
Archer is focused on strengthening its financial position through strategic capital allocation.
FAA certification progress is crucial for commercialization.
Transitioning to commercialization aligns with growth objectives.
Other Events On May 14, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (the “Company”) filed a prospectus supplement pursuant to Rule 424(b) under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) relating to the resale of 3,266,870 shares (the “Resale Shares”) of Class A common stock, $0.0001 par value per share (“Class A common stock”), of the Company that were issued by the Company to the selling stockholders. The Resale Shares were issued pursuant to stock purcha…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Tosha Perkins will transition from her current role as an Chief Administrative Officer of Archer Aviation Inc. (the “Company”) to serve as a senior advisor to the Company effective April 17, 2026. SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 2, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (“Archer” or the “Company”) will hold a conference call regarding its operational and financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. Archer also issued a letter to its stockholders (the “Shareholder Letter”) and a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing its operational and financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. Copies of the Sha…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On March 9, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (the “Company”) filed a counterclaim and answer in its ongoing federal court litigation with Joby Aero, Inc. and Joby Aviation, Inc. (together, “Joby”) before the United States District Court for the Northern District of California. In its counterclaim, the Company asserts various claims against Joby, including for unfair competition and false advertising. The Company is seeking damages, declaratory relief, and certain other rem…