Reading TTI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TTI free→Reading TTI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TTI free→NYSEIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is elevated and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 34% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair. If TTI cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $10.16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $10 TTI trades at 48× p/e — 2.1× the 23× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $7.54 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 35% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 8%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 11.62x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.08 → $0.08 (+0.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$193.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$507.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,766.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'full'.
Valuation changed. It rose from "expensive" to "full." Risk fell. The sector backdrop remains a headwind.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Better operating income means TETRA is controlling costs. This is important for making money long-term.
Confirms:Operating income increases by more than 10% in Q2 compared to Q1.
Disproves:Operating income does not improve or declines in Q2 compared to Q1.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TTI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Regulation FD Disclosure On June 2, 2026, TETRA Technologies, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering (the “Offering”) of 10,810,811 shares of its common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”), at a price to the public of $9.25 per share, pursuant to a registration statement on Form S-3 (File No. 333-287210) (the “Registration Statement”) filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on May 12, 2025…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Conglomerates.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TTI TETRA Technologies, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 53 of 100 | full | elevated |
HON Honeywell | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | low |
MMM 3M | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CSL Carlisle Companies | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 64 of 100 | fair | moderate |
SEB Seaboard Corp | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on driving revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Improve operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Allocate capital strategically to support growth and operational efficiency.
Why it matters: Updates on capital allocation will show how TETRA plans to manage its resources. This is crucial for future growth.
Confirms one read:Management will share a clear plan for capital allocation in Q2 earnings.
Confirms the other:There are no updates on capital allocation. Comments in Q2 earnings were vague.
Why it matters: A return to strong revenue growth would support TETRA's goal of increasing revenue. It would show the company is overcoming sector headwinds.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Other Events On June 2, 2026, the Company and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as representative of the several underwriters named in Schedule 1 thereto (collectively, the “Underwriters”), entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell to the Underwriters, and the Underwriters agreed to purchase from the Company, subject to and upon the terms and conditions set forth therein, 10,810,811 shares of Common Stock at the public offeri…
Other Events On June 2, 2026, the Company provided certain operational updates to potential investors, the relevant excerpts of which are set forth below. ******** Critical Minerals and Our Arkansas Bromine Project On May 28, 2026, we announced that our board of directors approved a final investment decision for the Arkansas Bromine Project, subject to securing necessary financing. Since commencement of the project in 2022 through March 31, 2026, we have invested approximately $49 million in…
and in Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As reported in the Current Report on Form 8-K filed on October 27, 2025, TETRA Technologies, Inc. (“TETRA” or the “Company”) announced that on October 24, 2025 Elijio V. Serrano informed the Company that he intended to retire from his position as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (principal financial officer) of TETRA, effective Mar…