Reading FBYD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FBYD free→Reading FBYD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FBYD free→NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, FBYD trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 200% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $14.82. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $15 FBYD trades at 70× p/e — 3.0× the 23× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $4.94 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 200% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.62x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$702.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,458.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,123.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a stronger recovery for Falcon's Beyond.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is slowing down. It is staying below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FBYD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the Company’s press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (this “Current Report”) and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” fo…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Conglomerates.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | expensive | high |
HON Honeywell | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | low |
MMM 3M | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CSL Carlisle Companies | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | fair | moderate |
SEB Seaboard Corp | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 30, 2026, Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the Company’s press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (this “Current Report”) and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed”…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Effective February 17, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (the “Company”) increased the number of directors on the Board from five to six and elected Iraida Que De Vera to serve as a director of the Company. Upon joining the Board, Iraida Que De Vera will be entitled to receive compensation under the Company’…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Series B Preferred Stock Subscription Agreement As previously disclosed, on September 8, 2025, November 24, 2025 and November 25, 2025, Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into subscription agreements (the “ Subscription Agreements ”) with certain accredited investors pursuant to which, on such date, the Company issued and sold to such investors, and such investors subscribed for and purchased, an aggregate of approximately $31.2 m…
Other Events On December 12, 2025, Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (the “ Company ”) notified shareholders owning shares and units held in escrow pursuant to the Earnout Escrow Agreement dated as of October 6, 2023, by and among the Company and such shareholders (the “ Earnout Escrow Agreement ”), that the first stock price-based earnout trigger set forth in the Earnout Escrow Agreement was met. The Earnout Escrow Agreement was entered into in connection with the previously reported business com…