TKO Group Holdings (TKO)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
$180.68+1.07%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TKO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Movies & Entertainment is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 27% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 31% growth a year, above the roughly 9% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTKO’s appeal rests on strong financial performance supported by cash-backed profits. Revenue growth slowed from 26% to 18%, and the latest quarter missed earnings expectations. TKO trades at 75× P/E versus a 61× peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 58%. The recent earnings miss and full expectations challenge the premium. Peer multiples imply a price about 31% below where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TKO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering TKO (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TKO in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TKO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Movies & Entertainment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TKO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve full year 2026 revenue target of $5.775B to $5.825B
Guidance raise indicates strong performance across all segments.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $180.68
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $180.68.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
