Netflix (NFLX)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
$62.08+0.05%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NFLX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Movies & Entertainment is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Netflix’s content and diverse formats must sustain engagement, revenue growth, and margin expansion. Revenue growth slowed from 16% in Q1 to 12% in Q3, despite a latest earnings beat. It trades at 18× P/E versus a 61× peer median, though expectations look modest versus our view. The peer gap leaves room for multiple compression, while reported profits remain weakly backed by cash. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NFLX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 53 analysts currently covering NFLX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 24 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NFLX in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NFLX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFLX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Movies & Entertainment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NFLX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Improve monetization through advertising, pricing, and plans
Flipkart bundle reportedly helped drive record India additions, supporting distribution and monetization reach.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $62.08
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $62.08.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Sustain revenue growth and expand operating margin
Disappointing outlook signals a growth headwind, though the headline alone does not establish a thesis break.
Advances: Improve monetization through advertising, pricing, and plans
Record India additions on content and Flipkart bundling support member growth and monetization.
Threatens: Deliver more entertainment value to members
Co-CEO acknowledges US content quality needs improvement, a real product execution concern.
Advances: Sustain revenue growth and expand operating margin
Reported Q3 earnings and revenue beat supports growth and profitability objectives.
Threatens: Sustain revenue growth and expand operating margin
Lowest revenue growth in three years signals a meaningful growth headwind.
Threatens: Sustain revenue growth and expand operating margin
Reported 1,000-job reduction amid slower growth suggests cost discipline and possible organizational strain.
Threatens: Deliver more entertainment value to members
Stock drop prompted content leadership changes, indicating pressure to improve programming execution.
