Warner Music Group (WMG)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
$30.47+3.01%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put WMG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Movies & Entertainment is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Cash from operations grows to at least $440M: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 13% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskWMG’s case rests on growing streaming and recorded-music market share. Revenue growth slowed from 17% to 10%, despite the latest earnings beat. That quarter’s earnings beat estimates by 34.2%. No clean valuation multiple is available for comparison with peers. Our view expects more growth than the price reflects. A next-quarter earnings miss has a 19% model probability. The cash-growth pillar needs review, not confirmation of a break. Peer multiples imply a price about 24% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. WMG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering WMG (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare WMG with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Movies & Entertainment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put WMG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Grow market share in streaming and recorded music
Strong revenue growth supports streaming market share objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow market share in streaming and recorded music
Expands market share in a growing music market.
Advances: Increase quarterly dividend to shareholders
New leadership may enhance operational efficiency and cash flow.
Leadership change may disrupt strategic objectives and operations.
Potential merger could enhance market share and growth.
Advances: Grow market share in streaming and recorded music
AI partnership could significantly boost streaming market share.
Legal issues could impact market share growth in streaming.
Advances: Grow market share in streaming and recorded music
Funding supports growth in streaming and recorded music.
