Reading AMC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AMC free→Reading AMC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AMC free→NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is not assessable since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, AMC trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 78% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.29 AMC trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $12 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 80% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 15%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=902).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.22x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
25 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Communication Services names rated volatile grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=200).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.08 → $-0.06 (+28.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 29% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 10.3% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$260.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$549.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,321.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show if consumers are spending more on entertainment. This affects AMC's ticket sales.
Confirms:Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth above 1% for the month.
Disproves:Retail sales growth is flat or negative for the month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AMC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of our filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, whether made before or after the date hereof and regardless of any general incorporation…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Movies & Entertainment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AMC AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 10 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
DIS Walt Disney Company (The) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LYV Live Nation Entertainment | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 31 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TKO TKO Group Holdings | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 54 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management expects significantly rising revenues for the full year 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue was $1.0454 billion in 2026-Q1, down from $1.2883 billion in 2025-Q4. Despite the expectation of significantly rising revenues for 2026, the current trajectory shows a decline from the previous quarter, indicating limited progress so far.
“Significantly rising revenues is our continued expectation for full year 2026.”
AMC is focusing on capital allocation, including unregistered sales of equity securities and credit agreements.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. AMC has engaged in unregistered sales of equity securities and entered into credit agreements, indicating a focus on managing capital allocation. However, the financials show a net income loss of $117.1 million in 2026-Q1, suggesting limited progress in improving financial stability through these actions.
“Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and credit agreements.”
AMC aims to improve operating income, which has fluctuated over recent quarters.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income was negative $45.7 million in 2026-Q1, a decline from $0.1 million in 2025-Q4. This indicates a negative trajectory in operating income, suggesting challenges in achieving this priority.
“Operating income was negative $45.7 million.”
Why it matters: If communication services revenue growth turns positive, it may help AMC's recovery. This could signal a sector rebound.
Confirms:The communication services sector has positive revenue growth. This is the first time in over a year.
Disproves:The sector's revenue growth is still negative. This has happened for another quarter.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Odeon Credit Agreement On April 17, 2026, Odeon Finco PLC (“Odeon”), a wholly-owned direct subsidiary of Odeon Cinemas Group Limited (“OCGL”) and an indirect subsidiary of AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. ( “AMC”), entered into a Credit Agreement (the “Odeon Credit Agreement”), by and among Odeon, as borrower, OCGL, as the company, the lenders party thereto and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as administrative agent and security agent,…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in