Constellation Brands (STZ)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-14
$123.62-1.10%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put STZ beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Beer Business net sales grow to at least $2.43 billion: Q1 FY27 Beer net sales $2.43B vs $2.43B target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskConstellation Brands must continue to drive organic growth and share gains in its Beer Business to justify its current price. Revenue grew 8% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and the latest earnings beat expectations. The stock trades at a valuation that reflects less growth than forecast, with peer multiples implying a price about 27% above where it trades. The primary risk is that if the company cuts guidance on the next call, it could lead to a significant decline in estimates. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. STZ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering STZ (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for STZ in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare STZ with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STZ Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put STZ next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive organic growth and share gains in Beer Business
Refining playbook supports organic growth in Beer Business.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $123.62
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $123.62.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Disciplined and balanced capital allocation approach
Redemption supports disciplined capital allocation strategy.
Advances: Focus Wine and Spirits portfolio on higher-growth, higher-margin brands
Shift to margins aligns with higher-margin brand focus.
Advances: Disciplined and balanced capital allocation approach
Investment supports disciplined capital allocation and supply chain stability.
Advances: Maintain quarterly cash dividend at $1.03 per share
Approval supports commitment to maintaining cash dividend.
Threatens: Drive organic growth and share gains in Beer Business
Beer demand issues could hinder organic growth objectives.
Threatens: Drive organic growth and share gains in Beer Business
Stock slump indicates potential issues in beer growth.
Demand concerns could hinder organic growth in Beer Business.
