Reading STRR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track STRR free→Reading STRR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track STRR free→NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year, and it is also facing elevated risk in a sector backdrop that is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, STRR is below typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $11.05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $11 STRR trades at 0× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $87 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 87% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 23%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.90x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
19 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.29 → $-0.04 (-112.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$121.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$477.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,168.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'inexpensive' to 'None'.
Valuation changed. The valuation label moved from "inexpensive" to "None." Risk remained elevated. The sector backdrop is a headwind. Recent financial performance is weak.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector revenue growth could benefit Star Equity and improve its market outlook.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. This shows a stronger industrial environment.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is slowing down. This means there are still challenges ahead.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for STRR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On May 11, 2026, Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, on May 11, 2026, the Company issued a presentation supplementary to its press release, which presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2. The information in this Current Report…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Conglomerates.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 5 of 100 | — | elevated |
HON Honeywell | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | low |
MMM 3M | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CSL Carlisle Companies | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
SEB Seaboard Corp | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Star Equity Holdings is prioritizing capital allocation by entering into a sales agreement for preferred stock issuance.
Star Equity Holdings continues to declare and pay dividends on its 10% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock.
Star Equity Holdings is addressing its earnings performance following recent earnings misses.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 18, 2026, Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an At Market Issuance Sales Agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc. (“Sales Agent”), as sales agent, pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time, through the Sales Agent, shares of the Company’s 10% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, par value $0.001 per share, having an aggregate offering price of up to $8,700,00…
Other Events. On May 15, 2026, Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (“Company” or “Star”) announced that its Board of Directors declared a cash dividend to holders of the Company’s 10% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock (“Star Preferred Stock”) of $0.25 per share. The record date for this dividend is June 1, 2026, and the payment date is June 10, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On December 16, 2025, Alliance Drilling Tools, LLC (“ADT”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into three purchase and sale agreements with Custom Capital Strategies, Inc. (“Custom Capital”), pursuant to which the parties agreed to consummate three sale and leaseback transaction of three different properties in Texas, Utah, and Wyoming, as reported on Form 8K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commis…
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On March 17, 2026, Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, on March 17, 2026, the Company issued a presentation supplementary to its press release, which presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2. The information in this Current…