Reading SRI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SRI free→Reading SRI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SRI free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SRI is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials or fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $7.54. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $7.54 SRI trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $11 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 34% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.09x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.12 → $-0.14 (-16.7% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$241.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$523.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,853.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: An update to guidance shows that management is confident in revenue growth. This affects what investors expect.
Confirms:Full-year revenue guidance updated to $645M-$670M.
Disproves:No update to full-year revenue guidance or a reduction in guidance.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SRI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) Departure of Principal Officer Effective June 8, 2026, Robert J. Hartman, Jr. will cease to serve as Interim Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Stoneridge, Inc. (the “Company”) in connection with the appointment of a permanent Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer as described below. Mr. Hartman will continue to serve as the Company’s Chi…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Automotive Parts & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SRI Stoneridge Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 25 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
BWA BorgWarner | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 52 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APTV Aptiv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AUR Aurora Innovation Inc | — | — | elevated |
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve at least $160 million in revenue from its MirrorEye product in 2026.
The company has updated its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $645 million to $670 million.
The company aims to achieve an adjusted operating margin of approximately break-even to 0.5% for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: Achieving this revenue target is key for Stoneridge's growth strategy. It shows demand for their technology.
Confirms:MirrorEye revenue reported at or above $160M for 2026.
Disproves:MirrorEye revenue reported below $160M for 2026.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. The Company held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 19, 2026 (the “2026 Annual Meeting”). At the 2026 Annual Meeting, the Company’s shareholders approved Amendment No. 1 the Company’s 2025 Long-Term Incentive Plan (the “Plan”), increasing the number of common shares authorized for issuance under the Plan by 2,650,000 shares. A description of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Stoneridge, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. On May 7, 2026, members of the Company’s senior management will hold the first quarter 2026 earnings conference call via webcast to discuss the Company’s financial results and the presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, will accompany manage…
above is hereby incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report, including the press release, furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly se…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) Appointment of President and Chief Executive Officer As previously disclosed in the Original Report, on February 19, 2026, the Board of Directors of Stoneridge, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Natalia Noblet as the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, effective 12:01 a.m. on April 1, 2026. The Compensation Committee of the Board dete…