Garrett Motion, Inc. (GTX)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$20.91-6.98%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put GTX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Automotive Parts & Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS of at least $1.6 in 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 42% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGarrett Motion’s industrial sales growth and capital returns support the case, though revenue growth slowed. Revenue growth eased from 7% year over year to 3% in Q3 2026. Q3 GAAP EPS beat consensus by 13.3%. GTX trades at 12× P/E versus 13× for peers and 15.7× historically. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. A 30% next-quarter miss probability and the 19% drop from its recent high raise execution concerns. The 2026 EPS pillar needs review because its comparison is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. GTX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering GTX (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare GTX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automotive Parts & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put GTX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Return capital through dividends and share repurchases
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
New $250M buyback advances capital returns; $300M industrial sales outlook supports growth objectives.
Loss of leadership may impact strategic execution.
Advances: Increase revenue to $3.6-$3.9B in 2026
Increased price target supports revenue growth outlook.
Advances: Achieve $5B revenue by 2030
Diversification strategy aligns with long-term revenue goals.