Reading SBEV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SBEV free→Reading SBEV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SBEV free→AMEXConsumer StaplesBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality can't be assessed because the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SBEV is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 80% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because recent financials are weak and earnings quality is fragile. Watch sector bellwethers like DEO, BF-B, and MGPI for early signals. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.19. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.19 SBEV trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $0.40 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 80% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.20x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
32 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated volatile grew net income 42% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=368).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$574.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,512.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,663.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Composite insight fell by 19.8 points (from -20.7 to -40.5).
Signal changed from 'cautious' to 'restrictive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Strategic capital allocation in Avicanna
New COO and investment support strategic capital allocation.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Michael Bondurant Appointment On June 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of the Company appointed Michael Bondurant, as the Company’s Chief Operating Officer, effective immediately. Mr. Bondurant is an experienced operator and entrepreneur with a track record of building, scaling, and fixing businesses across banking, technology, and can…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2022-Q1, 2023-Q2, 2023-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SBEV SPLASH BEVERAGE GROUP INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 1 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Invested $217,479.24 in Avicanna Inc. as part of a strategic capital allocation.
The company must address its non-compliance with NYSE's shareholders' equity requirement.
Appointed Brady Cobb as Interim CEO to lead the company through its current challenges.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 9, 2026, Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (the “Company”) invested $217,479.24 and purchased 2,000,000 common shares and 1,000,000 warrants of Avicanna Inc. (TSX:AVCN) in a private placement transaction. Avicanna is a commercial-stage cannabinoid-based biopharmaceutical company focused on clinical research, patient care, and developing pharmaceutical products. The investment represents a strategic capital allocation aligned with the Company’s pre…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. From May 29, 2026 through June 1, 2026, the Company sold and issued a total of 3,846,332 shares of common stock pursuant to that certain Securities Purchase Agreement dated September 19, 2025 with C/M Capital Master Fund, LP as purchaser (the “ELOC Agreement”) for total gross proceeds of $607,720. The ELOC Agreement was previously disclosed in the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on September 25, 2025. To the extent such sales are deemed to b…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) On May 9, 2026, Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Brady Cobb as the Company’s Interim Chief Executive Officer, effective immediately. By virtue of this appointment, Mr. Cobb became the principal executive officer of the Company. Mr. Cobb has been a director of the Company since February 2, 2026. Mr. Cobb is a seasoned execut…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 29, 2026, the Company received notice from NYSE Regulation (the “NYSE”) that the Company is not in compliance with the shareholders’ equity requirement of $6 million as of December 31, 2025 as outlined in Section 1003(a)(i), (ii), and (iii) of the Company Guide. The NYSE noted that that the Company’s actual shareholders’ equity was ($15,300,828). The Company must submit a plan by May…