RXO, Inc. (RXO)
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-10-30
$27.49-0.58%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put RXO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Cargo Ground Transportation is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 10% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 31%, softest on returns on capital.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 36% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 41% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRXO’s Brokerage growth depends on volume and gross profit gains from share growth, freight recovery, and its C.H. Robinson deal. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 25% year over year, and RXO beat non-GAAP earnings consensus. RXO trades at 0.7× sales versus a 1.5× peer median, despite expectations that exceed our growth forecast. The next-quarter miss probability is 28%, and the acquisition could intensify competition or face execution concerns. Peer multiples imply a price about 36% below where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. RXO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering RXO (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RXO in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RXO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Cargo Ground Transportation — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RXO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Complete merger with C.H. Robinson to create a scaled logistics platform
Downgrade indicates concerns over merger's success.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $27.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $27.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Jefferies downgrade raises concerns about merger viability.
TD Cowen upgrade supports positive outlook on acquisition.
Advances: Drive volume and gross profit growth in Brokerage segment
Acquisition enhances growth potential in Brokerage segment.
C.H. Robinson's buyout may intensify competitive pressures.
Advances: Drive volume and gross profit growth in Brokerage segment
Freight recovery supports volume and gross profit growth.
Advances: Drive volume and gross profit growth in Brokerage segment
Share gains support growth in Brokerage segment.
Advances: Drive volume and gross profit growth in Brokerage segment
Price target increase reflects positive brokerage segment momentum.