Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put ORN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Construction & Engineering is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve adjusted EPS of $0.36 to $0.42 in 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 11% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 31% growth a year, above the roughly 7% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskORN’s case rests on expanding project awards, with revenue growth accelerating in the latest reported quarter. Third-quarter revenue grew 14% year over year, and adjusted earnings beat consensus. ORN trades at 49× P/E versus a 41× peer median, with expectations already full. The 2026 adjusted EPS pillar needs review because its comparison is unverified. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 26%, and the peer premium must be earned. Peer multiples imply a price about 23% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. ORN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering ORN (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare ORN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction & Engineering — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ORN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand opportunities and win project awards
Reported $250M in contract wins materially expands awarded work and advances the project-award objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Achieve revenue of $900M to $950M in 2026
Reiterated revenue guidance supports the 2026 target; rising submitted bids signal potential future growth.

Advances: Achieve revenue of $900M to $950M in 2026
Asset sale enhances liquidity for growth initiatives.

Threatens: Grow backlog and secure new project awards
Rising costs and delays threaten project backlog growth.

Advances: Achieve revenue of $900M to $950M in 2026
Stronger earnings and revenue growth support 2026 revenue target.