Northern Trust (NTRS)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-10-30
$169.16-2.17%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put NTRS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Asset Management & Custody Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
Northern Trust’s thesis rests on durable fee growth, supported by steady management and cash-backed profits. Revenue growth eased from 14% to 13%; Q3 2026 revenue grew 13%, with an EPS beat. NTRS trades at 15× P/E versus a 14× peer median and its 17× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that peer premium. A 21% modeled next-quarter miss probability and CFO retirement challenge execution. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NTRS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering NTRS (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NTRS in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NTRS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTRS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Asset Management & Custody Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NTRS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain strong EPS growth
Reported 40% EPS growth and strong operating leverage support EPS growth and expense-discipline objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $169.16
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $169.16.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Threatens: Maintain strong EPS growth
Sequentially lower earnings and below-consensus Q4 guidance pressure the EPS growth objective.
Advances: Enhance noninterest income through fee growth
Converting mutual funds to ETFs enhances fee growth potential.
CFO retirement may disrupt financial strategy execution.
Advances: Enhance noninterest income through fee growth
New fund enhances fee growth potential significantly.
Advances: Execute One Northern Trust strategic priorities
Outsourced trading aligns with growth strategy and enhances service offerings.
Advances: Execute One Northern Trust strategic priorities
Wealth push aligns with growth strategy and enhances outlook.
Advances: Enhance noninterest income through fee growth
Significant new mandate enhances fee growth potential.
