NRG Energy (NRG)
NYSEUtilitiesIndependent Power ProducersSnapshot 2026-10-29
NYSEUtilitiesIndependent Power ProducersSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NRG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Utilities is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS near $8.9 in 2026: Diluted EPS: $2.31 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 13% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNRG’s earnings depend on strong performance, but recent quarterly EPS results missed despite revenue growth. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 11% year over year, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus by 10.2%. NRG trades at 14× P/E versus a 23× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite fragile cash support for reported profits. The primary pillar is under pressure: 2026 diluted EPS was $2.31 per share, versus a near-$8.9 pillar. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 31%. Peer multiples imply a price about 40% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NRG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering NRG (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NRG in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Utilities (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NRG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Potential acquisition aligns with growth strategy and market expansion.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $96.06
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $96.06.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Reaffirm 2026 financial guidance
New project supports financial growth and guidance.

Revenue exceeding forecasts supports growth outlook.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 financial guidance
New power plant supports growth and financial guidance.
Board appointment may enhance strategic direction.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 financial guidance
CEO's growth strategy aligns with financial objectives.