Xcel Energy (XEL)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-14
$72.49-2.25%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put XEL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Multi-Utilities is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS grows to at least $4.04 to $4.16 in 2026: FY26 EPS guidance $4.04-$4.16 vs $4.04 target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 5% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 12%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskXcel Energy's growth relies on expanding revenue through regulatory rate cases and solar projects. Revenue growth has been steady, with the latest earnings beat showing an EPS of 0.93. It trades at 2.0× price-to-book, slightly above the peer median of 1.9×. Expectations appear modest compared to this valuation, indicating potential overpricing. A specific risk is the scrutiny of rate increases, which could hinder revenue growth. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch due to pressure on the primary pillar.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. XEL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering XEL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for XEL in the last 4 months.
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Compare XEL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XEL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Multi-Utilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put XEL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue through regulatory rate cases
Rate increase supports revenue growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $72.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $72.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue through regulatory rate cases
Expansion of solar project directly increases revenue potential.
Threatens: Increase revenue through regulatory rate cases
Rate increase scrutiny could hinder revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16
Strong earnings growth supports EPS guidance reaffirmation.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16
Earnings growth aligns with EPS guidance for 2026.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16
Earnings call highlights positive outlook for EPS growth.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16
Capital plan supports EPS growth guidance.
Threatens: Increase revenue through rate cases
Rate hike may lead to customer dissatisfaction.
