NASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electric Utilities is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Invest $41.7 billion in capital expenditures over next four years: $41.7 billion CAPEX plan (metric not reported).
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 5% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskExelon must manage its $41.7 billion capital expenditures to support growth. Revenue grew 8% year over year, but the latest earnings report missed expectations. It trades at 1.6 times book value, below the 2.0 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than expected, which seems modest. If Exelon cuts guidance, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. EXC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 22 analysts currently covering EXC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for EXC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electric Utilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Support customer affordability and withdraw PECO rate filings
Data center load drop impacts customer affordability and regulatory objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $45.82
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $45.82.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Regulatory hurdles may impact EPS guidance.
Advances: Project $41.7 billion CAPEX over next four years
Maintaining investment plan supports capital allocation objective.
Advances: Affirm full year 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91
Reaffirming EPS guidance while advancing projects is a strong positive.
Pricing strategy could enhance revenue and support EPS growth.
Increased regulatory scrutiny may impact CAPEX and EPS growth.
Threatens: Project $41.7 billion CAPEX over next four years
AI data centers strain grid, impacting CAPEX and EPS growth.
Threatens: Project $41.7 billion CAPEX over next four years
Increased blackouts and costs challenge CAPEX and EPS objectives.
