Exelon (EXC)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-10-29
$45.91+2.55%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put EXC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electric Utilities is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 5% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskEXC’s case rests on an above-sector earnings yield, with revenue growth reaching 8.1% year over year in Q2 FY2026. That growth followed a Q1 beat, but Q2 earnings missed consensus. EXC trades at 1.6× P/B versus a 2.0× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the peer discount. Management is behind on a stated commitment, and regulatory approval affects dividend support. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 19%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. EXC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering EXC (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for EXC in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare EXC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electric Utilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put EXC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Affirm full year 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91
Third-quarter earnings beat supports full-year EPS guidance, though the share-price reaction is not itself a catalyst.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $45.91
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $45.91.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Affirm full year 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91
EPS and revenue beats support earnings performance and confidence in full-year guidance.
Threatens: Support customer affordability and withdraw PECO rate filings
Dividend yield hinges on regulatory approval affecting affordability.
Data center load drop impacts growth and EPS guidance.
Regulatory hurdles may impact EPS guidance.
Advances: Project $41.7 billion CAPEX over next four years
Maintaining investment plan supports capital allocation objective.
Advances: Affirm full year 2026 EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91
Reaffirming EPS guidance while advancing projects is a strong positive.
Pricing strategy could enhance revenue and support EPS growth.