Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
$9.88-7.23%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put LVLU beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Limit revenue decline to no worse than -7% in next year: metric not reported.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 73% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLVLU's growth depends on limiting revenue decline to no worse than -7% next year. Recent financial performance shows a revenue drop of 17% year over year and a significant earnings miss. It trades at 0.1× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 0.4×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than forecasted, indicating modest expectations. The primary risk is the high probability of missing future earnings estimates, currently at 84%. Peer multiples imply a price about 53% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. LVLU is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare LVLU with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVLU Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LVLU next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain capital expenditures between $2.0M and $2.5M
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Capex plan aligns with management's financial objectives.
Threatens: Improve cash from operations
Earnings miss indicates difficulty improving cash from operations.
