NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel RetailSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 40% growth a year, above the roughly 17% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 30% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCTRN's growth depends on achieving 9%-11% total sales growth in footwear. Recent performance has been weak, but the last quarter's results showed potential. It trades at 0.7× price-to-sales, above the 0.4× peer median, indicating high expectations. If CTRN cuts guidance on the next call, it could face a significant drop. Peer multiples imply a price about 42% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. CTRN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering CTRN (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Achieve 9%-11% total sales growth
Indicates potential for significant sales growth in footwear.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Advances: Achieve 9%-11% total sales growth
Strong sales growth supports sales growth objective.
Advances: Increase adjusted EBITDA to $35M-$40M
Adjusted EBITDA target aligns with management's goals.
Advances: Achieve 9%-11% total sales growth
Raised outlook indicates strong sales growth.
