Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
$13.70+0.07%
Close 2026-08-31 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put SCVL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Primary pillar broken — Gross margin near 34% in fiscal 2026: 31.9% vs 34.0% target.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskShoe Carnival's growth depends on reaffirming its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance. Recent performance shows gross margin near 34%, below the 34% target, indicating challenges. Revenue growth is under pressure from store closures and industry-wide promotions. SCVL trades at 7.7× P/E versus a peer median of 16.3×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected, with modest expectations. A 29% probability exists for a miss in the next quarter. The thesis has broken due to the primary pillar of gross margin not meeting targets.
Trailing returns as of 2026-08-31. SCVL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering SCVL (as of Jun 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare SCVL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SCVL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Industry-wide promotions indicate competitive pressure affecting revenue.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-08-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Reaffirm Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance
Store closures may impact revenue growth guidance.
Store closures may impact revenue and EPS guidance.
Positive earnings outlook supports revenue growth expectations.
Positive earnings outlook supports revenue growth expectations.
Earnings call provides detailed insights on future performance.