Reading LOVE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LOVE free→Reading LOVE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LOVE free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is robust, backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been steady and capital-friendly. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 49% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified, as it is rich on today's multiple but cheaper over three years with expected earnings growth. If LOVE cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $15.64. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $16 LOVE trades at 37× p/e — 2.4× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $10 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $20–$22. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 49% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 14.38x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.90 → $-0.90 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 26.4% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$169.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$502.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,920.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Improving revenue growth is key for Lovesac to meet its fiscal 2027 target of $700M to $750M.
Confirms:Q1 revenue growth turns positive year over year, exceeding $138.2M.
Disproves:Q1 revenue continues to decline year over year, falling below $138.2M.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LOVE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On June 11, 2026, The Lovesac Company, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, which ended May 3, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purp…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$20.00 – $22.00 (median $22.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-06-12
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Home Furnishings.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LOVE Lovesac Co. (The) | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 52 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SGI Somnigroup International | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MHK Mohawk Industries | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ALH Alliance Laundry Holdings, Inc. | — | expensive | moderate |
LZB La-Z-Boy, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | moderate |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing net sales to reach the fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $700 million to $750 million.
Aim to enhance profitability by reducing net losses and achieving positive net income.
Focus on improving cash flow from operations to support financial stability.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow helps Lovesac run its business and grow.
Confirms:Cash from operations turns positive, exceeding -$35.4M in Q1.
Disproves:Cash from operations remains negative, worse than -$35.4M in Q1.
Why it matters: A return to positive net income is crucial for Lovesac's financial health and growth.
Confirms:Net income improves to at least $5M in Q1.
Disproves:Net income remains negative, worse than -$11.1M in Q1.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 26, 2026, The Lovesac Company, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026, which ended February 1, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed”…
Regulation FD Disclosure Share Repurchase Authorization On March 26, 2026, The Lovesac Company, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing that its Board of Directors has authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $40 million of the Company's outstanding common stock, expanding its existing share repurchase program to approximately $54.1 million. The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases are determined by the discretion…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On December 11, 2025, The Lovesac Company, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended November 2, 2025. A copy of the Press Release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed”…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On November 20, 2025 (the "Effective Date"), the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Lovesac Company (the “Company”) appointed Wan Ling Martello to its Board. In connection with her election to the Board, Ms. Martello will be entitled to receive compensation in accordance with the Company's non-employee Director Compensation Policy (the "Policy…