Reading BSET? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BSET free→Reading BSET? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BSET free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is also neutral. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, BSET is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 64% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. Rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. If BSET cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $15.56. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $16 BSET trades at 25× p/e — 1.6× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $9.55 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 63% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.51x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=3229).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.12 → $0.12 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$94.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$384.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,446.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation fell by 16.9 points (from 50.3 to 33.4).
As of June 16, 2026, valuation fell. The sector backdrop is a headwind. Risk is elevated.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show how much consumers are spending. This affects Bassett's sales.
Confirms one read:Retail sales growth reported above 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales growth reported below -0.5% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BSET yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On April 21, 2026, the Company announced that Bruce Cohenour, SVP-Chief Sales Officer of the Company will retire on May 31, 2026. Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRI…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Home Furnishings.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BSET Bassett Furniture Industries, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 36 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SGI Somnigroup International | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 39 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MHK Mohawk Industries | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ALH Alliance Laundry Holdings, Inc. | — | expensive | moderate |
LZB La-Z-Boy, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue the commitment to a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share to shareholders.
Focus on improving earnings performance following recent earnings misses.
Enhance operational efficiency to improve cash flow from operations.
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it may show a recovery in consumer spending.
Confirms:Revenue growth reported in Q2 earnings is positive year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains negative year over year in Q2 earnings.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 1, 2026, Bassett Furniture Industries issued a news release relating to the first quarter financial results for the fiscal year ending November 28, 2026. A copy of the news release announcing this information is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1.
Other Events On March 12, 2026, Bassett Furniture Industries issued a news release relating to the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share of common stock payable on May 29, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 15, 2026. A copy of the news release is attached to the report as Exhibit 99.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 4, 2026, Bassett Furniture Industries issued a news release relating to the fourth quarter financial results for the fiscal year ending November 29, 2025. A copy of the news release announcing this information is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1.
Other Events On January 15, 2026, Bassett Furniture Industries issued a news release relating to the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share of common stock payable on February 27, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 13, 2026. A copy of the news release is attached to the report as Exhibit 99.