J Jill, Inc. (JILL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
$23.96+0.76%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put JILL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 38% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskJILL’s case rests on strong recent financial performance and earnings upside, despite mixed earnings quality. Revenue growth improved from a 6% decline to 0.5% growth year over year. Q2 FY2026 non-GAAP earnings beat consensus, supporting the recent-performance case. JILL trades at 9.8× P/E versus a 15.7× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The next-quarter miss probability is 40%, creating a specific risk to that earnings case. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. JILL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering JILL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for JILL in the last 4 months.
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Compare JILL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JILL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put JILL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $75M to $80M for fiscal 2026
Rating downgrade suggests challenges to achieving EBITDA targets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $23.96
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $23.96.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $70 million to $75 million for fiscal 2026
Tariff refunds positively impact margins and EBITDA.
Advances: Evolve product assortment and enhance customer journey
Tariff refunds positively impact margins and growth.
Threatens: Evolve product assortment and enhance customer journey
Assortment risk poses a challenge to growth objectives.
Threatens: Evolve product assortment and enhance customer journey
Inventory concerns threaten growth and product evolution.
Threatens: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $75M to $80M for fiscal 2026
Adjusted EBITDA guidance cut threatens financial targets.
Threatens: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $70M to $75M
Sales declines may hinder EBITDA growth.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $70M to $75M
Surpassing estimates positively impacts EBITDA outlook.
