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Huntsman Corp (HUN)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Watch· this week
$15.89+0.98%
Close 2026-06-15 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
The bottom line
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
as of 2026-06-15
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Materials
- Industry
- Chemicals
- Market cap
- $2.76B
- Employees
- —
- IPO date
- 2004-11-24
- Next earnings
- 2026-07-30
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $15.89. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
12-month· primaryfair
$17.40consensus
Range $16.49 – $26.64
vs price: -9% below
Method agreement — · 3 methods
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
3-yearinexpensive
$27.31consensus
Range $16.47 – $38.15
vs price: -42% below
Method agreement — · 2 methods
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
5-yearinexpensive
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
Cheap vs peerslow confidence
At $16 HUN trades at 1× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $17 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $9.00–$15. Not investment advice.
Multiple (P/S)
0.5x
peer 1.2x · own history —
Premium
0.4x peer
Growth the price needs
-9%
our forecast -4%
Our fair value
$17.29
range $16.84 – $26.96
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)Our number is above the analyst range
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
fairfair — but weakening12-month view
What's priced inJustified
The price implies about 9% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Low fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
Historical context
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
weakOperating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=1088).
28th pctl · Materials
Earnings quality
loss makingOver the trailing year it converted -0.66x of net income into operating cash flow.
Macro sensitivity
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
- the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Management & capital allocation
Not enough signal yet.
Earnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
Strongly bullishEPS revised +187.2% / 30d, n=12for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $-0.07 → $0.06 (+187.2% / 30d). 9 raised, 0 cut, 12 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 7% of analysts rate Buy.
Price target activity
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.5% above current price.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: materials is in declining, with may be transitioning (~0.8 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Overall: neutral
- Capital allocation
- neutral
- Earnings discipline
- neutral
- Margin discipline
- strong
- Balance sheet
- neutral
- Post-call reaction
- neutral
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
as of 2026-06-15
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$231.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$546.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,705.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
elevatedas of 2026-06-15
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- risk change · risk_labelsmall change
risk label changed from 'high' to 'elevated'.
As of June 15, 2026, risk rose, changing from a high label to an elevated label. The sector backdrop remains a headwind, indicating ongoing challenges in the environment. Recent financial performance is noted as weak, and earnings quality is described as loss-making. The overall valuation is fair but weakening, reflecting concerns about recent financials.
as of 2026-06-15
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Intermediate · Weekly
- UpsideHigh confidenceMonthsactive 4d
Watch for sector revenue growth turning positive
Why it matters: A positive change in sector revenue growth could signal a recovery for Huntsman Corp.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms:Sector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent for three years.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Sector context
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for HUN yet.
This sector is also watching
- Watch for Materials sector revenue growth turning positive
- Watch for trends in unemployment claims impacting demand
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If sector bellwethers like DOW, CE, and OLN keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Materials sector momentum should keep lifting HUN and other Materials names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If HUN raises forward guidance on the next earnings call (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30), that's a momentum boost. Street estimates typically follow guidance up and the stock tends to re-rate higher.
Downside triggers
- If HUN cuts guidance on the next call (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30), that's a meaningful negative. The Street tends to walk down estimates and the stock usually takes a leg lower.
- If sector bellwethers like DOW, CE, and OLN start missing or guiding lower, the Materials tailwind helping HUN and other Materials names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
- If GDP growth slows materially from the current 2.6% (say, below 2%), it hits HUN and other Materials names harder than the average stock, since the sector is growth-sensitive.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-301mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, we issued a press release announcing our results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. We will hold a conference call to discuss our first quarter 2026 financial results on Friday, May 1, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. ET. Webcast link: https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=CrqpAfyY Participant dial-in numbers: Domestic callers: (877) 402-8037 Internati…
Earnings preannouncementneutral
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
-1.0 vs last weeklatest as of 2026-06-15
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.