Grocery Outlet (GO)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-14
$11.49-1.46%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put GO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 67% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGrocery Outlet's growth trajectory depends on maintaining its revenue guidance of $4.60 to $4.72 billion for 2026. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations with a 122% earnings surprise. It trades at 18× P/E versus a peer median of 16×, indicating it looks expensive on this basis. If GO cuts guidance on the next call, that could negatively impact its valuation. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. GO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering GO (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GO in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare GO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for fiscal 2026
New store supports revenue growth and guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $11.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $11.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Legal risks could impact profitability and cash flow objectives.
Threatens: Implement Optimization Plan to improve profitability and cash flow
Store closures hinder profitability and cash flow optimization efforts.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for fiscal 2026
Earnings call highlights sequential improvement in revenue guidance.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for fiscal 2026
Guidance increase supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $220 million to $235 million for fiscal 2026
EPS forecast supports adjusted EBITDA growth objective.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for 2026
Raised guidance indicates positive growth trajectory.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for 2026
Sales exceeding estimates supports revenue guidance.