NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-07-31
Reading GO? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 69% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGrocery Outlet's expansion into new California branches is essential to maintain its revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for 2026. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations with a significant earnings surprise of 150%. It trades at 13.5× P/E versus a peer median of 16.8×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than anticipated. The specific risk lies in the potential for a guidance cut, as our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 29%. Peer multiples imply a price about 32% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. GO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering GO (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for 2026
Expansion supports revenue growth towards 2026 guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Advances: Maintain revenue guidance of $4.60 - $4.72 billion for 2026
Expansion supports revenue growth towards guidance.
Store closures may impact revenue growth.
C-suite changes may enhance strategic execution.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $220 million to $235 million for 2026
Profitability normalization supports EBITDA goals.
