United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI)
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-10-29
$45.87-0.52%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put UNFI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Free cash flow at least $300 million in fiscal 2026: Free cash flow: $80M.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskUNFI’s bet rests on stronger commercial and supply chain capabilities supporting recovery, despite continued revenue declines. Fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue fell 0.7% year over year, slower than the prior quarter’s 4.2% decline. That quarter’s non-GAAP earnings beat consensus by 11.3%. UNFI trades at 18× earnings versus a 16× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The specific break is free cash flow: fiscal 2026 reached $80 million against a $300 million pillar. Peer multiples imply a price about 20% above where it trades; the thesis has broken, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. UNFI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering UNFI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for UNFI in the last 4 months.
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Compare UNFI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UNFI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Strengthen commercial and supply chain capabilities
Guidance for growth aligns with strengthening capabilities.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $45.87
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $45.87.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Strengthen commercial and supply chain capabilities
Path to profitability supports growth objectives.
Advances: Strengthen commercial and supply chain capabilities
Presentation highlights growth strategies and capabilities.
Advances: Strengthen commercial and supply chain capabilities
Earnings call presentation emphasizes growth and profitability.
Threatens: Increase profitability metrics and free cash flow
Sales decline impacts profitability metrics and cash flow.
Threatens: Increase profitability metrics and free cash flow
Margin reversal poses risk to profitability metrics.
Advances: Increase profitability metrics and free cash flow
Margin recovery supports profitability metrics and free cash flow.
Advances: Strengthen commercial and supply chain capabilities
Earnings call reinforces growth outlook.
