Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-10-30
$3.28+2.50%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put DNUT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 40% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskDNUT depends on expanding franchise-operated sales through new shops, toward its 2027 systemwide sales objective. That growth case is challenged by falling revenue and continued losses. Q2 FY2026 revenue fell 12.8% year over year, despite an earnings beat. The shares trade at 0.4× sales versus a 0.8× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, though the company remains unprofitable. Management running behind on a stated commitment is the specific thesis risk. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 21%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. DNUT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering DNUT (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put DNUT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand franchise-operated systemwide sales to ~50% by 2027
New shops support franchise sales expansion objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Achieve net revenue of $1.25B to $1.35B for 2026
Revenue concerns impact growth objective for 2026.
Threatens: Expand Adjusted EBITDA margin and improve profitability
Pre-tax losses may hinder profitability objectives.
Advances: Expand franchise-operated systemwide sales to ~50% by 2027
Margin expansion supports franchise sales growth objective.
Turnaround strategy aligns with revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve net revenue of $1.25B to $1.35B for 2026
EBITDA growth supports revenue target for 2026.
Advances: Maintain capital expenditures of $50M to $60M for 2026
Franchising reduces capital expenditures significantly.
New market entry supports revenue growth objectives.