DEFI DEVELOPMENT CORP (DFDV)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-15
$4.64-11.11%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put DFDV beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Asset Management & Custody Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 234% growth a year, above the roughly 100% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 85% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskDFDV's growth relies on expanding its Solana treasury to support its objectives. Recent financial performance has been weak, with no earnings yield to assess. Revenue growth expectations appear full, as the market prices in more growth than forecasted. DFDV trades at 11.3× price-to-sales, significantly above the peer median of 3.1×. The risk lies in the potential for a guidance cut, with a 70% probability of missing expectations. Peer multiples imply a price about 269% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. DFDV is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering DFDV (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare DFDV with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFDV Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Asset Management & Custody Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put DFDV next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase SOL per share to 1.0 by December 2028
Increases SOL per share towards management's target.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Increase SOL per share to 1.0 by December 2028
Expansion of SOL treasury supports growth objective.
Advances: Simplify capital structure and repurchase convertible notes
Funding supports capital structure simplification and note repurchase.
Advances: Increase SOL per share to 1.0 by December 2028
Funding supports growth towards increasing SOL per share.
Threatens: Simplify capital structure and repurchase convertible notes
Preferred stock offering complicates capital structure simplification.
Advances: Wind down legacy Janover businesses
Launch supports product simplification and growth objectives.
Threatens: Increase SOL per share to 1.0 by December 2028
Solana Treasury Model failure impacts growth objective.
Increased price target reflects positive market sentiment.