Reading DBGI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DBGI free→Reading DBGI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DBGI free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel RetailSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Peer multiples imply a price about 167% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact the company's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.74. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.74 DBGI trades at 0× p/s, below its 0× p/s peer median. Our $1.20 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 167% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -16%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.43x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
18 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$821.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$2,163.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,837.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation fell. The valuation label changed from "inexpensive" to "expensive." Risk remains elevated. The sector backdrop is a headwind.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report can change how much consumers spend. This affects Digital Brands Group's performance.
Confirms one read:Retail sales show a significant increase month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decline month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for DBGI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 9, 2026, Digital Brands Group, Inc., a Nevada corporation (the “Company”), entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with 1800 Diagonal Lending, LLC (the “1800 Diagonal”), pursuant to which the 1800 Diagonal made a loan to the Company, evidenced by a promissory note in the aggregate principal amount of $238,050.00, including an original issue discount of $13,050.00 (the “Note”) with additional tranches of up to…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Apparel Retail.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DBGI Digital Brands Group Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
TJX TJX Companies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
ROST Ross Stores | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
BURL Burlington Stores | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GAP Gap Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve revenue between $55 million and $65 million for the fiscal year 2026.
The company aims to generate free cash flow between $10 million and $12 million by the end of fiscal year 2027.
The company is actively pursuing strategic mergers and acquisitions to enhance its market position.
Why it matters: The sector is going down. Positive revenue growth could mean a recovery.
Confirms:Revenue growth turns positive after being negative for a period.
Disproves:Revenue keeps going down. This shows the sector is facing challenges.
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above in
of Form 8-K, the information contained in Item 1.01of this Current Report on Form 8-K is incorporated herein by reference. The Company claims an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), for the private placement of the securities pursuant to Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act and/or Regulation D promulgated thereunder because, among other things, the transaction did not involve a public offering, each recipient is an acc…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 15, 2026, Digital Brands Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an At-the-Market Issuance Sales Agreement (the “Agreement”) with Aegis Capital Corp., as sales agent (the “Sales Agent”), under which the Company may issue and sell through the Sales Agent, from time to time, shares of its common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Common Stock” and such offered shares of Common Stock, the “Shares”), having an aggregate offering price of…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. As previously reported by Digital Brands Group, Inc. (the “Company”) in its Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 17, 2026, on February 16, 2026 the Company entered into those certain letter agreements (collectively, the “Agreement”) with four existing holders (the “Holders”) of Common Share Purchase Warrants (the “Existing Warrants”) previously issued by the Company to the Holders in an offeri…