Reading BRFH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BRFH free→Reading BRFH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BRFH free→NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is low, but the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 124% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.16 BRFH trades at 2× p/s — 2.2× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $1.00 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 115% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 42%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.37x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=379).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.05 → $-0.05 (+0.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Not enough price history for this read.
How much price usually moves either way.
Not enough price history for this read.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $485.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the company's performance.
Confirms:Barfresh reports revenue growth above 4% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BRFH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Barfresh Food Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) issued an update on recent business developments in conjunction with the filing of its form 10-Q for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The conference call discussing these results took place on Thursday, May 14, 2026, at 1:30 pm Pacific Time (4:30 pm Eastern Time). A telephonic playback will be available through Thursday, May 28, 2026. Use of Non-GAAP Measure…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BRFH Barfresh Food Group Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 19 of 100 | expensive | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | expensive | low |
PEP PepsiCo | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | full | low |
MNST Monster Beverage | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 50 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve fiscal 2026 revenue within the range of $28 to $32 million.
The company targets fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA within the range of $3.2 million to $3.8 million.
The company has set a revenue guidance for Q2 2026 between $5.2 million and $5.6 million.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 31, 2026, Barfresh Food Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) issued an update on recent business developments in conjunction with the filing of its form 10-K for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The conference call discussing these results took place on Thursday, March 31, 2026, at 1:30 pm Pacific Time (4:30 pm Eastern Time). A telephonic playback will be available through Tuesday, April 14, 2026.…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 19, 2026, Isabelle Ortiz-Cochet, a member of the board of directors, notified Barfresh Food Group Inc. (the “Company”) that she will be retiring on March 31, 2026. Such resignation was not the result of a disagreement with the Company. She had been initially appointed pursuant to the terms of an investor rights agreement, dated November…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 10, 2026, Justin Borus, a member of the board of directors, notified Barfresh Food Group Inc. (the “Company”) that he would be resigning as a director. Such resignation was not the result of a disagreement with the Company. He had been initially appointed on April 29, 2020 and served on the Compensation Committee of the board of directors.…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities Beginning on March 5, 2026, the registrant obtained subscriptions for unsecured senior convertible promissory notes in the aggregate amount of $7,278,000 (the “Notes”) from accredited investors. The Notes bear interest at 10% per annum for the first 12 months of the 24-month term, regardless of earlier payment or conversion (the “Minimum Interest”), and is mandatorily convertible as to principal and interest into shares of the registrant’s common stock…